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Iraq! Stay, leave or could there be a third option?
by Mohamed Elibiary
April 8, 2004
President Bush told us how he wasn't going to allow the world's most
destructive weapons to fall into the hands of terrorists and along with
freeing the Iraqi people these were justifications for us to remove Saddam
Hussein from power by any means necessary. Over the past few weeks the
world has witnessed a steady increase in clashes reported in Iraq. The
decision to close a Baghdad weekly affiliated with Shiite Cleric Muqtada
al-Sadr sparked a new round of protests from thousands of Shiite Iraqis. We
were told we'd be welcomed with open arms.
As for keeping Iraqi weapons of mass destruction from being passed to
terrorists, well they apparently didn't exist to the surprise of some. And
while removing Saddam Hussein from power to free the Iraqi people was an
admirable goal, that job is now complete. Continuing the US-led occupation
now has less to do with removing Saddam Hussein or destroying the 'one-man'
Baath Party system he headed, locating WMD, or keeping Americans safe and
more to do with guiding the formation of a new Iraq more amicable to our
interests. And by narrowing the acceptable choices for the Iraqis, we are
essentially denying them complete self-determination to choose their own
government as International law guarantees them.
As we have not succeeded in cowering the former regime loyalists,
nationalists, religious fighters responding to 'Bush's crusade', or clerics
such as Muqtada al-Sadr; we have now found ourselves in a precariously
dangerous situation. Some of the king's subjects are now calling his bluff,
we have pinned ourselves into a political corner that requires us to show
fangs, wisdom or a little bit of both. Military might, without the correct
political solution, cannot deliver a successful and democratic Iraq, a
result not in our best interest.
We need to recognize that the June 30th handoff date is a political mirage
to put the quagmire on the backburner for now. A successful transition can
only come about when the government we hand off to has local legitimacy, and
that requires it to not be hand picked by the occupying power like the
current Iraqi Governing Council was. The insurgents in al-Falluja,
al-Rumadi, al-Najaf and everywhere else wouldn't feel as emboldened to carry
out daylight attacks risking dozens of fighters at a time if they didn't
believe in the illegitimacy of the Iraqi Governing Council. We are
essentially attempting to put a box into a circle.
Arguments about how the insurgents only represent a small portion of the
population are misleading and show our complete ignorance of history.
During the American revolution, only one-third of Americans were for
fighting the British and creating a free America yet that didn't stop the
founding fathers from succeeding.
The Middle East is a land soaked with the history of many previous
occupation forces, but the one true constant has been that all occupiers
went home with their goals largely unachieved, demoralized and changed
forever. America is in a quagmire that military force alone cannot fix. We
have now spent over $150 Billion on this adventure in the sand, and unless
we close the political deal soon all may be lost. Having lost over 600
American lives and thousands injured along with thousands of Iraqi civilian
deaths, how long before we read the writings on the wall and adjust failed
policy.
Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani holds the key currently keeping a face-saving
political solution even possible, but if he chooses to side with al-Sadr in
order to maintain Shiite unity we will eventually withdraw as publicly
ridiculed political losers in the Islamic world's view with much bigger
consequences then Somalia ever had. We must recognize that our attempt to
put an Iraqi face on our occupation has failed, and our refusal to
accommodate Ayatollah Ali Al-Sistani's request to hold free and open
elections was a mistake in a long line starting with the disbanding of the
Iraqi National Army.
If our intentions were clear going in to just free them, then the time has
come to give them true self-determination? President Bush the time has come
to reach out humbly and honestly to all the allies previously snubbed.
Primarily neighboring Arab nations in the region, 'Old Europe', and the
United Nations which must be given overall political control. Ambassador
Paul Bremer, thank you for your service to our nation but you're fired!
Mohamed Elibiary is President of the Freedom and Justice Foundation
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