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Departments Election Issues Rigging the vote in Lucas County
I give my heartfelt thanks to Ellis Goldberg for obtaining and abstracting the data from the Lucas County canvass records, and to Coleen Christensen for producing the spreadsheets, which made it possible for me to write this report in a timely manner. The very first thing we all noticed when examining the precinct canvass records for Lucas County was the distribution of turnout. The range is striking, and turnout is distinctly higher in the Bush precincts than in the Kerry precincts. In some precincts the reported turnout is too high to be credible. PRECINCTS WITH HIGHEST TURNOUT, TOLEDO SUBURBS Precinct Turnout Bush Kerry MONCLOVA TOWNSHIP 10 92.67 217 161 MONCLOVA TOWNSHIP 11 92.46 424 298 SYLVANIA TOWNSHIP J 91.97 84 40 OREGON 16 89.46 186 210 MAUMEE 18 89.44 205 190 MONCLOVA TOWNSHIP 7 87.78 285 151 MONCLOVA TOWNSHIP 9 87.58 195 78 RICHFIELD TOWNSHIP 2 86.76 105 83 SYLVANIA TOWNSHIP K 86.74 338 177 SYLVANIA TOWNSHIP I 86.48 270 184 SPRINGFIELD TOWNSHIP 25 86.17 230 116 OREGON 5 86.09 382 390 MONCLOVA TOWNSHIP 5 85.96 365 181 MAUMEE 12 85.48 197 262 WATERVILLE TOWNSHIP 7 85.36 328 189 OREGON 15 85.23 189 287 YLVANIA CITY 18 85.05 434 214 SPRINGFIELD TOWNSHIP 9 84.98 297 147 SYLVANIA CITY 10 84.87 254 157 SYLVANIA CITY 21 84.87 516 295 SYLVANIA TOWNSHIP H 84.85 211 122 WATERVILLE TOWNSHIP 3 84.56 356 304 WATERVILLE TOWNSHIP 6 84.48 293 183 WATERVILLE TOWNSHIP 9 84.31 542 260 SYLVANIA TOWNSHIP CC 84.21 262 194 Turnout above 90% is almost unheard of. I have examined the canvass records in eight other Ohio counties and have seen reported turnout above 90% only in two precincts in Miami County where, in my professional opinion, the election was hacked. Miami and Lucas counties are also the only two counties whose records I have examined that used optical scanning machines, as confirmed by the map posted at verifiedvoting.org/verifier/map.php?&topic_string=5std&state=Ohio. I also noticed that among the suburban precincts with the highest reported turnout, 4 of the top 7 are in one township, 7 of the top 10 are in two townships, and 14 of the top 25 are in three townships. The Lucas County Board of Elections did not provide turnout data and vote totals at the town or ward level, so I have calculated them from the precinct data: REPORTED VOTER TURNOUT IN TOLEDO SUBURBS Registered Votes Percent City/Township Voters Counted Turnout Bush Kerry RICHFIELD TOWNSHIP 1124 949 84.43 523 410 MONCLOVA TOWNSHIP 7024 5863 83.47 3754 2073 WATERVILLE TOWNSHIP 7325 5980 81.64 3657 2255 OTTAWA HILLS VILLAGE 3560 2858 80.28 1656 1180 SYLVANIA TOWNSHIP 19555 15691 80.24 8924 6654 MAUMEE 10820 8632 79.78 4228 4308 PROVIDENCE TOWNSHIP 2413 1921 79.61 1092 810 SYLVANIA CITY 13361 10586 79.23 6029 4466 OREGON 13353 10495 78.60 4258 6121 JERUSALEM TOWNSHIP 2121 1664 78.45 713 938 WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP 2235 1699 76.02 673 1020 HARDING TOWNSHIP 488 370 75.82 200 168 SWANTON TOWNSHIP 2084 1573 75.48 740 821 SPRINGFIELD TOWNSHIP 17407 12592 72.34 6891 5601 SPENCER TOWNSHIP 1209 834 68.98 312 508 HARBOR VIEW VILLAGE 69 36 52.17 14 22 TOTAL 104148 81743 78.49 43664 37355
These are very high turnout rates for entire cities, villages and towns. Note that Bush won 7 of the 9 largest, and 6 of those are near the top of the list. The real story, however, is in Toledo.
Altogether there were 63 precincts in Toledo with less than 60% reported turnout. All of them were won overwhelmingly by John Kerry. The vote in the aggregate was 19,353 to 4,247, more than 4.5 to 1. But look at the distribution, or more precisely, the concentration. Of the 8 precincts with less than 50% reported turnout, 4 are located in 2 wards. Of the 29 precincts with less than 55% reported turnout, 20 are located in 4 wards, and 24 are located in 6 wards. Of the 63 precincts with less than 60% reported turnout, 34 are located in 4 wards, 39 are located in 5 wards, and 43 are located in 6 wards.
Altogether there were 45 precincts in Toledo with more than 80% reported turnout, almost unheard of in an urban area. Of these 45 precincts, 12 were won by Bush, including 8 of the top 15. The other 33 precincts were won by Kerry. Most of these precincts were competitive. The reported vote, in the aggregate, was 10,148 for Kerry, and 8,775 for Bush. But once again, look at the concentration. All 10 of the precincts with more than 85% reported turnout are located in 4 wards. Of the 17 precincts with more than 83% reported turnout, 13 are located in 2 wards, and 15 are located in 3 wards. Of the 45 precincts with more than 80% reported turnout, 25 are located in 3 wards. These numbers do not quite match those reported on Election Night, but they are close enough to make the point. The general pattern speaks for itself. The more competitive the ward, the higher the reported turnout. Conversely, the less competitive the ward, the lower the reported turnout. This pattern cannot be explained by claiming that voters were unenthusiastic about John Kerry, because he did win every ward in Toledo. In fact, Kerry’s margin of victory was 20.24%, compared to 18.68% for Al Gore.
It now becomes obvious that voter suppression in inner-city precincts has been going on for a long time. The Republicans have it down to an art form, as described in my companion paper, “Another Third Rate Burglary.” |
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