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Departments Election Issues Uncounted votes in Cuyahoga County by Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D. December 24, 2004 I give my heartfelt thanks to Brian Julin for producing the spreadsheets and the tables of data that made it possible for me to write this report in a timely manner. This is the fourth in a series of reports on uncounted votes in urban counties of Ohio. These are ballots cast but not counted because they were regarded as “undervotes” and “overvotes,” or “blank” and “void,” as they are known in New York State. The true number of such votes can be easily determined by subtracting votes counted from total ballots cast. Shortly after the election I obtained from the website of the Ohio Secretary of State the data I needed to make a statewide compilation on a county by county basis of the uncounted votes, exclusive of provisional ballots. These data have since been taken down from said website. I present them here. Cuyahoga County Registered Voters 1,005,807 Ballots Cast 665,334 Votes Counted 652,381 Votes Uncounted 12,953 Provisional Ballots 24,788 John F. Kerry 433,262 George W. Bush 215,624 Other candidates 3,495 Thus, according to the Ohio Secretary of State’s own data, the countywide percentage of uncounted votes, exclusive of provisional ballots, was 1.95%. The Cuyahoga County Board of Elections has posted its official precinct canvass records dated November 30, 2004. The official results are presented here: Cuyahoga County Registered Voters 1,005,807 Ballots Cast 687,260 Votes Counted 673,729 Votes Uncounted 13,531 John F. Kerry 448,486 George W. Bush 221,606 Other candidates 3,637 There are still 13,531 uncounted votes in Cuyahoga County. Presumably 578 are provisional ballots, and the other 12,953 are the regular ballots that went uncounted on Election Day. From the Cuyahoga County canvass records I have compiled the following table, presenting separate data for the vote totals, counted and uncounted, for Cleveland, the suburbs, regular ballots, and absentee ballots: Cuyahoga County Breakdown Ballots Cast Uncounted Bush Kerry CLEVELAND 172,160 4,708 2.73% 26,435 139,580 SUBURBS 515,100 8,823 1.71% 195,171 308,906 REGULAR 602,048 10,701 1.78% 192,518 395,543 ABSENTEE 85,212 2,830 3.32% 29,088 52,943 TOTAL 687,260 13,531 1.97% 221,606 448,486 As shown in the table above, 34.79% of the uncounted votes are in Cleveland, which Kerry won with 83.36% of the vote to 15.79% for Bush. The percentage of uncounted votes in Cleveland, 2.73%, is much higher than the county wide percentage of 1.97%, but lower than the surprisingly high percentage of uncounted absentee ballots, 3.32%. I had Brian Julin prepare a table of precincts sorted according to their percentage of uncounted ballots. Here are the results for the City of Cleveland: PRECINCTS WITH 4.0% OR MORE UNCOUNTED BALLOTS Precinct Ballots Cast Uncounted Bush Kerry CLEVELAND 6-M 467 90 19.27% 9 367 CLEVELAND 8-I 328 41 12.50% 8 251 CLEVELAND 13-H 95 10 10.52% 10 71 CLEVELAND 5-F 464 45 9.70% 4 415 CLEVELAND 6-J 313 28 8.95% 9 276 CLEVELAND 15-I 303 24 7.92% 85 188 CLEVELAND 1-D 439 33 7.52% 14 391 CLEVELAND 6-D 145 10 6.90% 5 130 CLEVELAND 13-X 406 27 6.65% 8 333 CLEVELAND 11-R 373 23 6.17% 44 304 CLEVELAND 9-M 504 31 6.15% 15 458 CLEVELAND 14-F 299 18 6.02% 69 211 CLEVELAND 7-A 511 30 5.87% 20 460 CLEVELAND 9-R 430 25 5.81% 12 392 CLEVELAND 13-A 417 24 5.75% 44 347 CLEVELAND 7-U 472 27 5.72% 22 421 CLEVELAND 12-L 404 23 5.69% 56 323 CLEVELAND 17-N 311 17 5.47% 53 238 CLEVELAND 4-O 484 26 5.37% 13 439 CLEVELAND 6-U 354 19 5.37% 11 324 CLEVELAND 2-K 396 21 5.30% 10 365 CLEVELAND 14-J 379 20 5.28% 92 266 CLEVELAND 8-L 213 11 5.16% 19 182 CLEVELAND 4-F 563 29 5.15% 20 299 CLEVELAND 5-A 626 32 5.11% 28 556 CLEVELAND 4-G 431 22 5.10% 12 395 CLEVELAND 7-F 299 15 5.02% 10 274 CLEVELAND 5-K 419 21 5.01% 15 382 CLEVELAND 5-U 20 1 5.00% 0 19 CLEVELAND 3-K 397 19 4.79% 8 370 CLEVELAND 16-A 379 18 4.75% 95 266 CLEVELAND 6-W 128 6 4.69% 8 113 CLEVELAND 7-J 432 20 4.63% 13 397 CLEVELAND 4-B 326 15 4.60% 21 389 CLEVELAND 3-D 567 26 4.59% 20 521 CLEVELAND 14-E 330 15 4.55% 75 239 CLEVELAND 2-P 441 20 4.54% 11 407 CLEVELAND 10-Q 441 20 4.54% 10 398 CLEVELAND 1-S 443 20 4.51% 17 401 CLEVELAND 6-K 201 9 4.48% 27 165 CLEVELAND 2-F 380 17 4.47% 21 342 CLEVELAND 8-Q 562 25 4.45% 15 521 CLEVELAND 11-B 540 24 4.44% 52 463 CLEVELAND 6-G 451 20 4.43% 15 415 CLEVELAND 5-L 249 11 4.42% 9 229 CLEVELAND 8-B 569 25 4.39% 23 520 CLEVELAND 10-J 388 17 4.38% 44 327 CLEVELAND 7-I 343 15 4.37% 11 317 CLEVELAND 5-G 482 21 4.36% 14 447 CLEVELAND 5-E 392 17 4.34% 6 369 CLEVELAND 2-A 324 14 4.32% 18 292 CLEVELAND 14-O 304 13 4.28% 54 233 CLEVELAND 11-O 400 17 4.25% 42 329 CLEVELAND 2-O 546 23 4.21% 19 500 CLEVELAND 11-U 285 12 4.21% 25 247 CLEVELAND 17-B 409 17 4.16% 89 302 CLEVELAND 8-R 434 18 4.15% 6 409 CLEVELAND 17-L 316 13 4.11% 46 256 CLEVELAND 8-D 439 18 4.10% 25 394 CLEVELAND 10-N 415 17 4.10% 16 382 CLEVELAND 7-T 415 17 4.10% 19 377 CLEVELAND 9-N 464 19 4.09% 16 427 CLEVELAND 8-E 320 13 4.06% 8 299 CLEVELAND 6-L 425 17 4.00% 82 325 CLEVELAND 14-T 375 15 4.00% 71 286 In Cleveland there are 12 precincts with more than 6% of the ballots uncounted. These account for 380 uncounted votes, 8.07% of the city wide total, and 9.19% of the total ballots cast in these 12 precincts. John Kerry won them all overwhelmingly, by a margin of 12 to 1 in the aggregate. There are 29 precincts with 5% or more of the ballots uncounted. These account for 743 uncounted votes, 15.78% of the city wide total, and 6.84% of the total ballots cast in these 29 precincts. John Kerry won them all overwhelmingly, by a margin of 12 to 1 in the aggregate. There are 65 precincts with 4% or more of the ballots uncounted. These account for 1,366 uncounted votes, 29.01% of the city wide total, and 5.43% of the total ballots cast in these 65 precincts. John Kerry won them all overwhelmingly, by a margin of 12 to 1 in the aggregate. Elsewhere in Cuyahoga County there are 19 precincts with more than 4% of the ballots uncounted. These account for 383 uncounted votes, or 5.63% of the total ballots cast in these precincts. John Kerry won 17 of these precincts, 16 of them by overwhelming margins, 8 to 1 in the aggregate, and he ran nearly even with Bush, 585 to 589, in the other three. PRECINCTS WITH 4.0% OR MORE UNCOUNTED BALLOTS Precinct Ballots Cast Uncounted Bush Kerry BEACHWOOD J 309 34 11.00% 53 222 EUCLID 3-C 448 45 10.04% 98 211 STRONGSVILLE 1-J 31 3 9.68% 13 15 EUCLID 4-D 595 41 6.89% 29 523 NORTH ROYALTON 3-A 524 34 6.49% 246 200 NORTH ROYALTON 5-B 444 25 5.63% 213 205 EAST CLEVELAND 2-D 273 15 5.49% 9 248 EUCLID 3-A 76 4 5.26% 22 37 EAST CLEVELAND 2-F 423 21 4.96% 23 379 GARFIELD HTS 1-B 61 3 4.92% 3 54 EAST CLEVELAND 4-D 469 23 4.90% 60 384 SOUTH EUCLID 1-D 535 24 4.49% 48 462 EAST CLEVELAND 3-A 388 17 4.38% 13 358 EAST CLEVELAND 2-C 368 16 4.35% 14 337 LAKEWOOD 3-E 351 15 4.27% 88 246 PARMA 9-J 328 14 4.27% 130 181 EAST CLEVELAND 3-F 379 16 4.22% 9 354 BEDFORD HTS 2-C 436 18 4.13% 28 389 EAST CLEVELAND 2-B 364 15 4.12% 9 339 Brian Julin provides this analysis: “Without considering ballot order (rotation) problems, which are obvious in several precincts as there are aberrant third party votes, and which may be less than obvious in collocated precincts where Bush and Kerry votes were swapped, if all undervotes were allocated in proportion to votes that were validly counted, Kerry would pick up approximately 7935 votes and Bush would pick up approximately 2675." 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