Departments
Favoritism in the suburbs
by Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
November 27, 2004
NOTE FROM THE AUTHOR: The following study is intended
as a companion to STEALING VOTES IN COLUMBUS, and
should be read in that context.
The Free Press on Election Day posted a disturbing
story, later confirmed by the Columbus Dispatch. The
Free Press reported that Franklin County Board of
Elections Director Matt Damschroder deliberately
withheld voting machines from predominantly black
Democratic wards in Columbus, and dispersed some of
the machines to affluent suburbs in Franklin County.
Damschroder is the former Executive Director of the
Franklin County Republican Party. Sources close to
the Board of Elections told the Free Press that
Damschroder and Ohio s Secretary of State Kenneth
Blackwell met with President George W. Bush in
Columbus on Election Day.
The idea was to discourage turnout in Democratic wards
by forcing voters to wait in long lines at the polling
places, while creating no such inconveniences to
voters in predominantly Republican suburbs. This was
important because Bush s margin of victory in the
suburbs was, as expected, less than Kerry s margin of
victory in the city, as the following table shows:
FRANKLIN COUNTY VOTE (EXCLUDING PROVISIONAL BALLOTS)
| Location | Kerry | Bush | Others |
| Columbus | 177748 62.22% | 105708 37.01% | 2200 0.77% |
| Elsewhere | 87800 42.31% | 118329 57.03% | 1365 0.66% |
| Absentee | 10025 49.43% | 10159 50.10% | 95 0.47% |
| Total | 275573 53.67% | 234196 45.62% | 3660 0.71% |
I obtained from the Franklin County Board of Elections
all the data I needed in order to calculate, ward by
ward, and precinct by precinct: (1) The ratio of
registered voters per voting machine. (2) Percent
turnout, calculated as total ballots cast divided by
the number of registered voters. (3) Percent for
Kerry, calculated as votes cast for Kerry divided by
votes cast for president. I arranged the data, ward
by ward, according to the ratio of registered voters
per voting machine.
DISTRIBUTION OF VOTING MACHINES, BY WARD
| Ward |
Voters/ |
Percent |
Kerry |
|
| |
Machine |
Turnout |
Percent |
|
| HARRISBURG * |
118.5 |
66.24 |
47.06 |
|
| LOCKBOURNE * |
121 |
46.28 |
40.54 |
|
| PLAIN |
195.4 |
63.62 |
31.95 |
|
| MARBLE CLIFF |
207 |
56.52 |
49.43 |
|
| TRURO |
219 |
56.34 |
42.17 |
|
| GAHANNA 4 |
219.9 |
68.28 |
42.58 |
|
| WORTHINGTON 1 |
222.1 |
66.05 |
45.63 |
|
| WORTHINGTON 3 |
226.5 |
66.76 |
47.34 |
|
| NORWICH |
229.9 |
69.52 |
37.55 |
|
| UPPER ARLINGTON 5 |
235.5 |
64.07 |
40.01 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| GAHANNA 2 |
239.6 |
62.41 |
42.63 |
|
| RIVERLEA |
240 |
67.92 |
55.59 |
|
| UPPER ARLINGTON 3 |
243.5 |
66.05 |
45.23 |
|
| BEXLEY 2 |
244.3 |
65.08 |
56.97 |
|
| DUBLIN 2 |
245.5 |
61.89 |
38.35 |
|
| CANAL WINCH |
246.3 |
68.6 |
34.60 |
|
| UPPER ARLINGTON 1 |
246.8 |
64.04 |
47.43 |
|
| BROWN |
248.4 |
73.78 |
31.19 |
|
| JACKSON |
250.8 |
68.22 |
33.12 |
|
| UPPER ARLINGTON 6 |
254.2 |
64.65 |
37.70 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| UPPER ARLINGTON 4 |
255.2 |
65.93 |
45.25 |
|
| UPPER ARLINGTON 2 |
257.2 |
64.56 |
41.10 |
|
| WESTERVILLE 2 |
257.3 |
66.65 |
34.68 |
|
| HILLIARD 2 |
258.2 |
69.15 |
35.28 |
|
| WASHINGTON |
259 |
61.13 |
31.33 |
|
| GROVE CITY 3 |
259.1 |
73.5 |
30.57 |
|
| PLEASANT |
259.4 |
65.56 |
36.09 |
|
| BEXLEY 1 |
260.4 |
63.4 |
57.75 |
|
| PERRY |
260.5 |
64.16 |
39.38 |
|
| REYNOLDSBURG 2 |
263.5 |
61.58 |
43.35 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| VALLEYVIEW |
267 |
54.68 |
46.29 |
|
| BEXLEY 3 |
268 |
66.94 |
59.36 |
|
| DUBLIN 1 |
268.4 |
65.33 |
31.93 |
|
| GAHANNA 3 |
269.4 |
63.12 |
43.91 |
|
| GRANDVIEW |
274.3 |
67.36 |
61.10 |
|
| MADISON |
275.5 |
61.2 |
41.96 |
|
| BLENDON |
276.3 |
60.29 |
40.43 |
|
| URBANCREST |
277 |
51.62 |
84.04 |
|
| GROVEPORT |
277.7 |
65.29 |
40.76 |
|
| HAMILTON |
278.3 |
59.67 |
41.36 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| WESTERVILLE 1 |
278.5 |
63.84 |
40.49 |
|
| WESTERVILLE 4 |
278.8 |
64.77 |
36.48 |
|
| HILLIARD 4 |
281.2 |
68.59 |
36.36 |
|
| GROVE CITY 2 |
281.4 |
63.84 |
34.99 |
|
| HILLIARD 1 |
281.5 |
59.72 |
41.00 |
|
| DUBLIN 4 |
284.7 |
60.92 |
33.51 |
|
| DUBLIN 3 |
285.5 |
59.86 |
27.70 |
|
| SHARON |
285.8 |
61.46 |
48.99 |
|
| REYNOLDSBURG 1 |
286 |
59.68 |
48.17 |
|
| REYNOLDSBURG 3 |
286.6 |
59.25 |
44.64 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| WESTERVILLE 5 |
287.9 |
61.64 |
44.49 |
|
| GAHANNA 1 |
288.4 |
60.28 n |
o data ** |
| WORTHINGTON 2 |
289.6 |
67.51 |
59.35 |
|
| WHITEHALL 3 |
293.9 |
54.38 |
53.01 |
|
| WESTERVILLE 3 |
295.8 |
56.38 |
43.19 |
|
| BEXLEY 4 |
296 |
56.15 |
62.88 |
|
| JEFFERSON |
298.6 |
67.57 |
35.85 |
|
| WORTHINGTON 4 |
298.7 |
59.49 |
48.09 |
|
| PRAIRIE |
300 |
58.51 |
42.20 |
|
| MINERVA PARK |
300.3 |
59.53 |
42.16 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| NEW ALBANY |
306.6 |
66.06 |
33.66 |
|
| WHITEHALL 1 |
310.7 |
52.17 |
59.44 |
|
| GROVE CITY 4 |
313.1 |
59.82 |
39.76 |
|
| OBETZ |
313.7 |
57.25 |
46.17 |
|
| GROVE CITY 1 |
315.1 |
61.14 |
39.16 |
|
| HILLIARD 3 |
317.6 |
58.34 |
42.06 |
|
| MIFFLIN |
322.5 |
47.44 |
65.88 |
|
| WHITEHALL 2 |
324.8 |
53.81 |
53.86 |
|
| REYNOLDSBURG 4 |
325.6 |
52.73 |
50.44 |
|
| FRANKLIN |
348.9 |
49.77 |
49.32 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| CLINTON |
351.1 |
48.73 |
57.07 |
|
| WHITEHALL 4 |
368.9 |
51.99 |
60.31 |
|
* Harrisburg and Lockbourne have one precinct each,
and benefited from a policy of distributing a minimum
of two voting machines to each precinct.
** Gahanna, Ward 1, Precinct B, is the subject of
controversy. There were 638 ballots cast. George W.
Bush was awarded 4,258 votes (20 votes for every 3
ballots cast). John F. Kerry received 260 votes.
There were 87 reported write-in votes, compared to
zero in the rest of the ward, 13 in the rest of
Gahanna. Such discrepancies can only be found through
time-consuming precinct by precinct analysis.
As the above table shows, the Columbus suburbs are
predominantly Republican territory. There are 72
wards in Franklin County outside of Columbus. John F.
Kerry won 15 of them: Clinton, Grandview, Mifflin,
Riverlea, Urbancrest, all four wards in Bexley, all
four wards in Whitehall, Reynoldsburg Ward 4, and
Worthington Ward 2. George W. Bush won at least 56
wards, with reliable data still unavailable for
Gahanna, Ward 1, Precinct B, as noted above.
Of the 15 wards won by Kerry, 5 are among the 6 at the
very bottom of Damschroder s list (Kerry lost the
other, Franklin, by 6 votes). All had more than 320
registered voters per voting machine, and voter
turnout was below 50% in all of them. The top 11
wards, all with fewer than 240 registered voters per
voting machine, were all won by Bush. Of the top 27
wards, all with fewer than 260 registered voters per
voting machine, 25 were won by Bush. As in the City
of Columbus, Bush enjoys disproportional favoritism.
Voter turnout was very high in most of the Columbus
suburbs. In the 30 wards at the top of Damschroder s
list, all with fewer than 265 registered voters per
voting machine, turnout was above 60%, with the
exception of Lockbourne, whose appearance near the top
of the list is anomalous, as explained above. At the
bottom of the list, in wards with more than 290
registered voters per voting machine, turnout was
below 60% in 16 of 19 wards; of these, Bush won 11,
and Kerry won 8, showing that fewer voting machines
depresses the turnout no matter whom the candidate.
On occasion some favoritism shows up at the precinct
level. Kerry won only 1 of 22 precincts in Grove City
(Precinct 1-D), and it happens to be the one with the
most registered voters per voting machine ? 424.0,
compared to an average of 288.5. Kerry won 7 of 15
precincts in Worthington, and 5 of them (2-A, 2-B,
2-C, 4-A, 4-B) happen to be the ones with the most
registered voters per voting machine ? 271.0, 301.3,
302.7, 318.3, and 356.0, respectively, compared to an
average of 253.7. Bush won only 3 of 13 precincts in
Whitehall (1-C, 2-B, 3-A), and they happen to be the
ones with the fewest registered voters per voting
machine ? 285.3, 277.0, and 211.7, respectively,
compared to an average of 323.1.
But the bigger story emerges when one compares the
data for the suburbs with the data for the city.
29 suburban wards, 27 of them won by Bush, had fewer
registered voters per voting machine than ANY wards in
the City of Columbus. All but 3 of these 29 wards
enjoyed a voter turnout above 60%. Conversely, 23
wards in Columbus, all of them won by Kerry, had more
registered voters per voting machine than ANY of the
Bush wards in the suburbs. All but 5 of these 23
wards suffered a voter turnout below 50%. This
substantiates the original charge in the Free Press ?
that voting machines were withheld from predominantly
black Democratic wards in Columbus, and dispersed more
generously to affluent Republican suburbs.
Damschroder has publicly stated that he was not at
fault because the voting machine approval process and
limited funds prevented him from getting enough
machines to satisfy the need. He said that he
allocated the machines based on imperfect estimates.
His defenders will say that my analysis shows at worst
incompetence and at best, an innocent mistake.
To cross-examine this defense, let us look one more
time at the data. There are 146 wards in Franklin
County. In 73 wards, exactly 50%, there were fewer
than 300 voters per voting machine, and in 2 wards
there were 300 exactly. This was the median, and
should have been the target number for equitable
distribution of voting machines.
DISTRIBUTION OF VOTING MACHINES
| Number of Wards: | Registered Voters Per Machine |
| < 300 | 300 + |
| In Columbus | 15 | 59 |
| In Suburbs | 58 | 14 |
| Won by Bush | 54 | 15 |
| Won by Kerry | 19 | 58 |
There are 72 wards in the suburbs, and 74 wards in the
city. 69 wards were won by Bush, and 77 wards were
won by Kerry. The numbers in the above table should
have been almost equal. Instead, of the 73 wards with
the fewest number of registered voters per machine, 58
(79.5%) were in the suburbs, and 54 (74.0%) were won
by Bush. How fair is that?
All of this mattered a lot. The median ward with
fewer than 300 registered voters per voting machine
had a 62.33% voter turnout. The median ward with 300
or more registered voters per voting machine had a
51.99% turnout. The voting machines could and should
have been distributed more equitably. Data on voter
registration was available before the election.
There were 14 urban and 33 suburban precincts which
could have been provided with one less voting machine
and still have had 300 or fewer registered voters per
machine. This would have freed up 47 machines, which
would have ensured that no precinct had more than 410
registered voters per machine. There were another 19
urban and 46 suburban precincts which could have been
provided with one less voting machine and still have
had fewer than 330 registered voters per machine,
within 10% of the median. This would have freed up
another 65 machines, and no precinct would have had
more than 361 registered voters per machine.
All of these data are for machines placed by close of
polls. I do not know how many voting machines were
available when the polls opened. There were also 68
machines available that were not provided to any
polling station anywhere.
It is bad enough that the voting machines were not
equitably distributed. What makes this worthy of
civil or criminal investigation is the pattern of
providing machines to suburban Republican precincts
and denying them to urban Democratic precincts. I am
quite weary of hearing about low voter turnout in
urban neighborhoods. The turnout would have been
higher if voters had been provided equal access to the
polls, as required by the Fourteenth and Fifteenth
Amendments and the Voting Rights Act.
--
http://www.northnet.org/minstrel
|
 |
Recent Election Issues Articles
Ohio's official non-recount ends amidst new evidence of fraud, theft and judicial contempt mirrored in New Mexico December 31, 2004 Bob Fitrakis, Steve Rosenfeld and Harvey Wasserman
Impossible Phantom Votes in New Mexico
December 30, 2004 Warren Stewart
The 2004 Presidential Election: Who Won The Popular Vote? An Examination of the Comparative Validity of Exit Poll and Vote Count Data December 29, 2004 Jonathan D. Simon, J.D. and Ron P. Baiman, Ph.D.
Ohio GOP election officials ducking notices of deposition as Kerry enters stolen vote fray December 28, 2004 Bob Fitrakis, Steve Rosenfeld and Harvey Wasserman
Another third rate burglary December 25, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Hacking the vote in Miami County December 25, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Update from the Ohio Frontlines December 24, 2004 Cynthia L. Butler, Esq.
Lawsuit Before the Ohio Supreme Court December 24, 2004 Summarized by Mary Anne Saucier, Columbus, Ohio
Kerry votes switched to Bush and ballots pre-punched for Bush December 24, 2004 Dr. Werner Lange
Uncounted votes in Cuyahoga County December 24, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Provisional ballots in Cuyahoga County December 24, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Uncounted votes in Summit County December 24, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Uncounted votes in Hamilton County December 24, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Default settings in Mahoning County December 23, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Ohio electoral fight becomes 'biggest deal since Selma' as GOP stonewalls December 22, 2004 Bob Fitrakis, Steve Rosenfeld and Harvey Wasserman
Observations from an election observer December 22, 2004 M.J. Willow
TV Networks Officially Refuse to Release Exit Poll Raw Data; Mainstream media finally displays true colors December 22, 2004 Gary Beckwith
Election results in Southwestern Ohio December 21, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Voting Rights Groups 'Block' Talk of Machine-Free Elections December 20, 2004 Lynn Landes
Statistics from Warren County December 20, 2004 Clint Cooper
The greatest story never told December 20, 2004 Robert Lockwood Mills
The United States of Ukraine?: Exit Polls Leave Little Doubt that in a Free and Fair Election John Kerry Would Have Won both the Electoral College and the Popular Vote December 19, 2004 Ron Baiman
Certifiable election results December 19, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Sinclair Broadcasting's Long History of Journalistic and Corporate Deception December 19, 2004 Jason Leopold
Ohio vote count battles escalate amidst new evidence of potential criminal activity December 18, 2004 Bob Fitrakis, Steve Rosenfeld and Harvey Wasserman
American democracy hangs by a thread in Ohio December 15, 2004 Bob Fitrakis, Steve Rosenfeld and Harvey Wasserman
Startling new revelations highlight rare Congressional hearings on Ohio vote December 13, 2004 Bob Fitrakis, Steve Rosenfeld and Harvey Wasserman
New Ohio voter transcripts December 12, 2004 Free Press staff
The One-Two Punch of Racism: Whitewashing the Voter Fraud Issue December 10, 2004 Greg Moses
Rigging the vote in Lucas County
December 10, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Uncounted votes in Montgomery County December 10, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Why history demands an Ohio revote December 10, 2004 Harvey Wasserman & Bob Fitrakis
Ohio election fraud uproar blasting to new level December 7, 2004 Steve Rosenfeld, Bob Fitrakis and Harvey Wasserman
Dirty work at the Philly polls December 3, 2004 Margie Burns
Voter Suppression: STEALING VOTES IN OHIO URBAN AREAS (full documentation) December 3, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
In Ohio 2004, it's the People versus the Party of Hate & Terror and the Party of Duck and Run...but will the Democrats now stand and fight? December 1, 2004 Harvey Wasserman & Bob Fitrakis
Warren County, Ohio: most successful voter registration drive in American political history, or stuffing the ballot box December 1, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Jesse Jackson demands Ohio presidential recount, blasts GOP election officials, and says Kerry supports the process November 29, 2004 Bob Fitrakis & Harvey Wasserman
Kerry Supports Ohio Vote Investigation, Jackson says November 28, 2004 Steven Rosenfeld
Hope for the Homestretch November 28, 2004 Paul Rogat Loeb
Favoritism in the suburbs November 27, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
New Ohio voter transcripts feed floodtide of doubt about Republican election manipulation November 25, 2004 Bob Fitrakis & Harvey Wasserman
Election officials gave wrong information about provisional ballots - revealed in affidavit. November 25, 2004 Neil F. Schoenwetter, Jr.
US tells Ukraine to recount votes on fradulent election! November 25, 2004 Dr. J. Alva Scruggs
Not counting the votes November 24, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Stealing votes in Columbus November 23, 2004 Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
Making every vote count November 23, 2004 Christopher T. Hicks
How a Republican election supervisor manipulated the 2004 central Ohio vote, in black and white November 23, 2004 Bob Fitrakis and Harvey Wasserman
More Ohio voter suppression testimony prompts upcoming legal filing for statewide recount November 20, 2004 Bob Fitrakis and Harvey Wasserman
Ohio Presidential Results to be Challenged November 20, 2004 Steven Rosenfeld
Franklin County, Ohio voting machine assignments, and other information November 20, 2004 Free Press staff
Coalition's Support of Voting Machines Causes Confusion
November 20, 2004 Lynn Landes
Hearings on Ohio voting put 2004 election in doubt November 18, 2004 Bob Fitrakis & Harvey Wasserman
Closing the Circle: The Corporatization of Elections November 17, 2004 Greg Coleridge
Subordinating nation's secular values to zealots' will November 12, 2004 Pierre Tristam
The Public Hearings and Rally About Election Fraud in Columbus, OH this weekend, Sat. 11/13-Please pass widely! November 12, 2004 Dr. Lora Chamberlain
Slip-sliding away in Columbus November 11, 2004 Carolyn M. Sherman
Green and Libertarian Presidential Candidates to Demand Ohio Recount November 11, 2004 Blair Bobier and Stephen Gordon
An End To Mourning November 9, 2004 Todd Huffman, M.D.
November 3rd action November 6, 2004 Mark Huntress
The Bible, The Constitution, and the James Carville Experiment November 5, 2004 Tom Luffman
Basic report from Columbus November 5, 2004 Ray Beckerman
Waiting to vote November 5, 2004 James K. Galbraith
Confessions of a political Know-Nothing in the wake of the 2004 elections November 4, 2004 Mark Anderson
Let the spin begin November 4, 2004 Free Press staff
Back Stabbers Cost Kerry in Ohio! November 4, 2004 Tom Luffman
The Last Battle November 4, 2004 Sheila Samples
Republican America! Republican Forever! November 3, 2004 Am Johal
Is there inner-city election suppression in Franklin County, Ohio? November 2, 2004 Bob Fitrakis
Michael Moore in Columbus November 1, 2004 Tom Luffman
No love in the Heartland: Kerry gets mocked in Pa. school election November 1, 2004 Jamie Pietras
Ten reasons for Greens to vote for Kerry November 1, 2004 Don St.Clair
Twelve ways Bush is now stealing the Ohio vote October 27, 2004 Bob Fitrakis and Harvey Wasserman
GW Bush Before the Iraq War
October 24, 2004 Larry S. Rolirad
MISOGYNY October 24, 2004 David Podvin
Foreign Policy Forecast: If Bush Wins | If Kerry Wins October 18, 2004 Muqtedar Khan
Hope for the homestretch October 15, 2004 Paul Rogat Loeb
FactCheck.org says Cheney got it wrong October 8, 2004 Jason Leopold
Do the Hokey Pokey October 6, 2004 Philip J. Rappa
Hope for the homestretch October 2, 2004 Paul Rogat Loeb
Addressing Republican issues with John Kerry October 1, 2004 Free Press staff
Gallup Polls- Conditioning for Vote Rigging? September 28, 2004 Stephen Crockett and Al Lawrence
Too Many Cameras and Not Enough Truth: John Kerry Dodges the Press September 14, 2004 Joshua Frank
Nader 2000 Leaders United To Defeat Bush September 14, 2004 Nader 2000 Leaders United To Defeat Bush
Shut up and color: the politics of bullying September 7, 2004 Paul Rogat Loeb
Kerry, Nader and the Greens need to kill the circular firing squad August 15, 2004 Harvey Wasserman & Bob Fitrakis
Don’t Believe the Hype; Terrorist Warnings Just Another Way Bush Will Steal Election August 9, 2004 Jason Leopold
President of Greater Stark County AFL-CIO speaks out on Bush’s visit in Canton, Ohio August 1, 2004 Dan Sciury
I'll Follow Kucinich to Kerry, Sorry Ralph July 28, 2004 David Swanson
Badnarik Doubles in Recent National Poll July 28, 2004 Libertarian Party
‘A green world is possible’ planned in New York City during the Republican National Convention July 28, 2004 Green Party
An open letter to progressives: vote Kerry and Cobb July 24, 2004 Eleven prominent progressives
A street fighting man? How Kucinich can win April 21, 2004 Josh Frank
Scary, Scary John Kerry March 25, 2004 Josh Frank
With all deliberate stupidity: US self-isolation makes Iraq a virtual non-issue in the elections so far March 22, 2004 Daniel Patrick Welch
To support or not to support; the Nader question March 16, 2004 Josh Frank
Halliburton, VP Cheney's Former Company Faces Second Criminal Probe In Four Years February 24, 2004 Jason Leopold
The Lone Ranger of Righteousness February 23, 2004 Paul Rogat Loeb
The Wrong Side of History February 22, 2004 Daniel Patrick Welch
High Noon in America January 26, 2004 Philip J. Rappa
The Truth is Out: Kucinich is the choice of progressives January 15, 2004 via Daniel P. Welch
Dean and Kucinich January 13, 2004 Paul Rogat Loeb
Bush Should Be Facing 'A Long, Hard Slog' On The Campaign Trail, But Dems Too Busy Fighting With Each Other January 12, 2004 Jason Leopold
Read Election Issues Articles by Year: 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 |